Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 73.3%
Defensive zone
Wright 59.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 71.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Thomas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Thomas
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Thomas
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
39.5% (453)
+10.6%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
42.4% (59)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
0.0% (1)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Thomas shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Thomas
Wright
Home
51.9% (374)
39.5% (286)
Away
51.9% (453)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Thomas
Wright
P1
49.2%
39.9%
P2
55.3%
37.1%
P3
50.6%
42.9%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Shane Wright |