Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Wright 43.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 68.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 81.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 80.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Thomas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Thomas
Wright
Last 9: Thomas 6-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thomas
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
42.6% (1,318)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
45.8% (131)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
33.3% (6)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Thomas shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Thomas
Wright
Home
50.9% (3,458)
44.2% (746)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Thomas
Wright
P1
50.6%
44.4%
P2
52.9%
40.7%
P3
50.8%
44.0%
OT
59.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |