Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Wright 45.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 83.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 86.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 89.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Thomas
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thomas
Wright
Last 7: Thomas 6-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
43.9% (758)
+11.4%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
50.7% (67)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
40.0% (5)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Thomas shoots right. Wright is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Thomas
Wright
Home
55.1% (690)
46.3% (406)
Away
54.5% (648)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Thomas
Wright
P1
55.5%
46.8%
P2
56.4%
42.6%
P3
51.5%
44.4%
OT
69.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |