Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Johnston 48.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 51.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 50.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Thomas
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thomas
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Thomas
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
47.8% (623)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
50.8% (63)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
51.4% (35)
+1.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Thomas shoots right. Johnston is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Thomas
Johnston
Home
51.9% (374)
47.6% (351)
Away
51.9% (453)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Thomas
Johnston
P1
49.2%
49.6%
P2
55.3%
47.3%
P3
50.6%
48.0%
OT
57.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |