Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Johnston 44.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 50.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 73.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Thomas
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thomas
Johnston
Last 6: Thomas 4-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
42.5% (318)
+11.1%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
55.6% (9)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
62.5% (8)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Thomas shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Thomas
Johnston
Home
53.6% (606)
40.5% (168)
Away
52.2% (615)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Thomas
Johnston
P1
48.2%
46.9%
P2
55.3%
40.4%
P3
55.2%
41.9%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |