Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 51.6% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Hintz
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hintz
Stamkos
Last 6: Hintz 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Hintz
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
1
Hintz
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Hintz
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (439)
55.3% (628)
-2.7%
Power Play
37.9% (29)
55.1% (216)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
40.2% (87)
+23.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hintz is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Hintz shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Hintz
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (256)
55.5% (499)
Away
50.2% (223)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Hintz
Stamkos
P1
59.5%
50.7%
P2
49.2%
53.8%
P3
47.1%
55.9%
OT
62.5%
87.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |