Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 56.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 55.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 57.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hintz
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hintz
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Hintz
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (512)
55.9% (499)
+0.4%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
56.3% (126)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
58.3% (12)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Hintz shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Hintz
Stamkos
Home
57.3% (262)
55.3% (349)
Away
55.3% (304)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Hintz
Stamkos
P1
54.8%
57.0%
P2
56.0%
59.2%
P3
57.5%
51.5%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |