Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Hintz wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 57.8% vs Hertl 56.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 60.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.7%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Hintz
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hintz
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Hintz
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (514)
56.6% (632)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.6% (158)
58.7% (206)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
63.6% (22)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hintz is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Hintz shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Hintz
Hertl
Home
59.8% (326)
59.7% (434)
Away
58.2% (373)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Hintz
Hertl
P1
57.9%
51.0%
P2
59.8%
64.0%
P3
58.2%
57.8%
OT
80.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
57.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
58.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |