Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 70.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Hintz
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Hintz
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
0
Hintz
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
54.1% (717)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
61.9% (210)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
58.1% (31)
+0.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Hintz
Hertl
Home
52.6% (460)
58.1% (492)
Away
55.4% (390)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Hintz
Hertl
P1
59.0%
57.1%
P2
52.7%
54.0%
P3
51.1%
56.6%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |