Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Colton 48.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 75.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Foligno
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
45.5% (88)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
71.4% (7)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
0.0% (1)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Foligno
Colton
Home
48.9% (178)
44.7% (47)
Away
50.6% (176)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Foligno
Colton
P1
40.4%
52.8%
P2
55.8%
47.1%
P3
51.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |