Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Colton wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 59.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 73.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 65.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Colton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Colton
Monahan
Last 7: Colton 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Colton
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Colton
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
57.1% (871)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
53.1% (262)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
44.6% (139)
-2.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Colton shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Colton
Monahan
Home
54.0% (411)
55.3% (644)
Away
49.1% (409)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Colton
Monahan
P1
56.7%
53.9%
P2
53.1%
55.3%
P3
46.3%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
44.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |