Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Monahan 51.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 72.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 63.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Colton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Colton
Monahan
Last 9: Colton 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Colton
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Colton
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Colton
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
53.7% (2,580)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
46.0% (766)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Colton shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Colton
Monahan
Home
51.9% (1,013)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
50.2% (978)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Colton
Monahan
P1
53.5%
50.9%
P2
52.6%
51.7%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |