Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Johnson 45.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 50.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 75.2%
Neutral zone
Colton 68.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Colton
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Colton
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
44.6% (285)
+7.5%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
46.7% (60)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
16.7% (6)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Colton shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Colton
Johnson
Home
54.0% (411)
50.8% (179)
Away
49.1% (409)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Colton
Johnson
P1
56.7%
41.3%
P2
53.1%
41.8%
P3
46.3%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |