Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 54.2%
Neutral zone
Colton 53.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Colton
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Colton
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,788)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.8%
Power Play
48.4% (159)
54.6% (885)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
42.3% (707)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Colton is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (693).
Colton shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Colton
Johnson
Home
51.9% (1,004)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.2% (972)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Colton
Johnson
P1
53.3%
50.1%
P2
52.6%
50.6%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |