Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Colton 52.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 50.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Colton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Colton
Gourde
Last 10: Colton 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
1
Colton
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Colton
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Colton
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
48.4% (4,954)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
57.4% (376)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
39.9% (554)
-5.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Colton shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Colton
Gourde
Home
51.9% (1,013)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
50.2% (978)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Colton
Gourde
P1
53.5%
49.9%
P2
52.6%
47.4%
P3
47.9%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |