Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Colton wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Colton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Colton
Gourde
Last 5: Colton 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
3
2
Colton
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (524)
49.1% (731)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
54.3% (81)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
48.2% (85)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Colton shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Colton
Gourde
Home
52.9% (291)
50.9% (479)
Away
51.4% (290)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Colton
Gourde
P1
50.6%
51.2%
P2
54.4%
49.8%
P3
51.6%
47.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |