Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colton wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Gourde 48.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Colton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Colton
Gourde
Last 5: Colton 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Colton
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Colton
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Colton
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
48.0% (914)
+4.1%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
54.2% (48)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
43.9% (123)
-1.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Colton shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Colton
Gourde
Home
54.0% (411)
50.2% (512)
Away
49.1% (409)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Colton
Gourde
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
45.3%
P3
46.3%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |