Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Chartier wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 51.9% vs Poehling 46.2% (+12.3%)
Offensive zone
Chartier 59.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 73.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Chartier
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (27)
46.5% (269)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.4% (139)
+7.6%
On even strength, Chartier has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Chartier is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Chartier shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Chartier
Poehling
Home
54.5% (11)
45.2% (177)
Away
59.1% (22)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Chartier
Poehling
P1
56.3%
47.7%
P2
55.6%
44.4%
P3
62.5%
44.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%