Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Hartman 47.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 67.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 64.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Carpenter
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carpenter
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Carpenter
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
47.1% (649)
+1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
47.1% (68)
+52.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
45.2% (73)
-1.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Carpenter shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Hartman
Home
48.9% (274)
46.5% (361)
Away
46.6% (232)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Carpenter
Hartman
P1
51.9%
45.1%
P2
49.4%
44.4%
P3
41.8%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |