Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carpenter wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reedy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Reedy 44.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reedy 63.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 87.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 83.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Carpenter
Reedy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carpenter
Reedy
Last 6: Carpenter 4-2 Reedy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Reedy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
3
1
Carpenter
Reedy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Reedy
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
39.7% (116)
+13.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
0.0% (2)
+46.5%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reedy shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Carpenter shoots right. Reedy is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Reedy
Home
54.6% (207)
55.1% (49)
Away
48.1% (181)
31.3% (83)
By Period
Carpenter
Reedy
P1
52.3%
38.6%
P2
51.5%
40.0%
P3
50.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Reedy
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Scott Reedy |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Scott Reedy |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |