Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.5% vs Reedy 44.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reedy 56.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 85.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 79.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Carpenter
Reedy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carpenter
Reedy
Last 6: Carpenter 4-2 Reedy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Reedy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
3
1
Carpenter
Reedy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Reedy
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,027)
39.7% (116)
+9.9%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
50.0% (14)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (467)
0.0% (2)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reedy shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Carpenter shoots right. Reedy is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Reedy
Home
51.2% (1,290)
55.1% (49)
Away
45.5% (1,245)
31.3% (83)
By Period
Carpenter
Reedy
P1
49.6%
38.6%
P2
47.7%
40.0%
P3
48.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Reedy
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Scott Reedy |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Scott Reedy |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |