Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Monahan 53.9% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 61.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Carpenter
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
54.5% (231)
-1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.2% (67)
+41.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
52.2% (23)
+7.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Carpenter shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Monahan
Home
58.5% (65)
53.5% (144)
Away
49.2% (59)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Carpenter
Monahan
P1
65.8%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
47.9%
60.8%
Final 5 min
43.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%