Ryan Carpenter vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 75.1%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 62.7%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Carpenter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carpenter
Karlsson
Last 5: Carpenter 2-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Carpenter
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
0
Carpenter
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
56.3% (739)
-7.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.6% (181)
+41.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
47.2% (53)
-3.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Carpenter shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Karlsson
Home
48.9% (274)
56.5% (462)
Away
46.6% (232)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Carpenter
Karlsson
P1
51.9%
57.1%
P2
49.4%
55.2%
P3
41.8%
56.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |