Ryan Carpenter vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Carpenter wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.5% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 61.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 70.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 62.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Carpenter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Carpenter
Karlsson
Last 10: Carpenter 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
9
Carpenter
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
5
1
Carpenter
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
4
1
Carpenter
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,027)
51.8% (7,849)
-2.2%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
54.8% (1,048)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (467)
44.2% (1,109)
-0.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Carpenter shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Karlsson
Home
51.2% (1,290)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
45.5% (1,245)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Carpenter
Karlsson
P1
49.6%
50.3%
P2
47.7%
51.3%
P3
48.0%
52.4%
OT
55.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | OT | 04:37 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | OT | 03:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |