Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Donato wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 48.1% vs Strome 45.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 52.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 50.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Donato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Donato
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Donato
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (258)
44.2% (267)
+3.9%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
37.0% (27)
+6.2%
On power play, Donato has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Donato shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Donato
Strome
Home
45.8% (142)
42.0% (157)
Away
49.0% (153)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Donato
Strome
P1
48.1%
40.0%
P2
46.6%
46.4%
P3
46.8%
44.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |