Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.5%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Donato wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 61.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 50.1%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Donato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Donato
Strome
Last 10: Donato 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Donato
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Donato
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Donato
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,179)
44.1% (6,839)
+0.1%
Power Play
46.3% (246)
49.3% (854)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
41.5% (410)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Donato shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Donato
Strome
Home
47.2% (743)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
41.6% (693)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Donato
Strome
P1
43.4%
44.0%
P2
45.1%
45.3%
P3
44.4%
44.3%
OT
70.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |