Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Strome 42.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 63.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Donato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Donato
Strome
Last 6: Donato 2-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Donato
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Donato
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Donato
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
41.2% (1,040)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
43.0% (151)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.4% (35)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Donato shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Donato
Strome
Home
50.2% (279)
40.1% (581)
Away
38.2% (246)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Donato
Strome
P1
44.6%
41.4%
P2
46.6%
42.9%
P3
42.0%
40.5%
OT
60.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |