Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 48.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 55.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 67.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Donato
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Donato
Wright
Last 5: Donato 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
1
Donato
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Donato
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (258)
39.5% (453)
+8.6%
Power Play
43.2% (37)
42.4% (59)
+0.8%
On even strength, Donato has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Donato shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Donato
Wright
Home
45.8% (142)
39.5% (286)
Away
49.0% (153)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Donato
Wright
P1
48.1%
39.9%
P2
46.6%
37.1%
P3
46.8%
42.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |