Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 44.5%). Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Wright 45.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 59.4%
Defensive zone
Wright 63.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.9%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Donato
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Donato
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Donato
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
0
Donato
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
43.9% (758)
-0.4%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
50.7% (67)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.0% (5)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Donato shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Donato
Wright
Home
50.2% (279)
46.3% (406)
Away
38.2% (246)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Donato
Wright
P1
44.6%
46.8%
P2
46.6%
42.6%
P3
42.0%
44.4%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Shane Wright |