Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.0%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 67.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 59.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Spezza
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Getzlaf
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
3
Spezza
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Spezza
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
50.6% (1,060)
+2.4%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
48.3% (118)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
54.9% (71)
-4.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Spezza shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Spezza
Getzlaf
Home
56.4% (626)
51.9% (622)
Away
51.7% (636)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Spezza
Getzlaf
P1
56.9%
49.4%
P2
51.9%
53.1%
P3
53.9%
50.5%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |