Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Duchene
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Duchene
Getzlaf
Last 6: Duchene 5-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
45.7% (900)
+4.8%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
49.7% (197)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
38.8% (49)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Duchene is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Duchene shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Duchene
Getzlaf
Home
49.8% (633)
48.0% (548)
Away
51.1% (613)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Duchene
Getzlaf
P1
51.0%
43.3%
P2
51.5%
51.1%
P3
49.1%
42.0%
OT
36.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |