Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 51.5% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 34-25 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 78.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 63.8%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 68.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
34
(59 meetings)
25
34
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Last 10: Getzlaf 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
17
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
13
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
7
4
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
58.6% (841)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
59.9% (207)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (59)
58.1% (148)
-8.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Getzlaf is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Getzlaf shoots right. O'Reilly is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Home
52.3% (333)
59.8% (594)
Away
51.3% (343)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
P1
55.5%
61.7%
P2
45.6%
56.2%
P3
53.7%
59.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |