Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.0% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 65.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
18
(39 meetings)
21
18
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Last 10: Getzlaf 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
10
6
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
7
5
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
7
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (772)
56.6% (1,064)
-4.1%
Power Play
60.8% (153)
60.4% (260)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (100)
54.0% (261)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Getzlaf shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Home
56.0% (557)
54.9% (801)
Away
50.0% (468)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
P1
52.2%
58.0%
P2
53.0%
56.7%
P3
54.9%
55.4%
OT
46.7%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |