Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 73 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 49.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 124-94 in 218 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 79.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 76.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 75.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
94
-
124
(218 meetings)
94
124
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Last 10: Getzlaf 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
29
44
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
73 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
39
49
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
88 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
26
31
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
57 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (10,258)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.9% (1,381)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (1,055)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Getzlaf shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Home
51.8% (6,270)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.8% (6,495)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
P1
49.2%
55.6%
P2
50.4%
57.0%
P3
49.7%
55.1%
OT
49.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |