Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Getzlaf wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.9% vs Stamkos 52.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 54.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 52.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 66.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Last 7: Getzlaf 6-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
1
Getzlaf
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (879)
52.9% (735)
+1.4%
Power Play
62.8% (78)
53.4% (73)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
53.8% (145)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Getzlaf shoots right. Stamkos is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Home
56.6% (535)
54.1% (481)
Away
51.8% (479)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Getzlaf
Stamkos
P1
55.6%
50.2%
P2
55.7%
53.4%
P3
51.5%
55.8%
OT
58.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
54.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |