Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Getzlaf wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 49.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
12
(32 meetings)
20
12
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Last 10: Getzlaf 9-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
5
2
Getzlaf
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
10
5
Getzlaf
Stamkos
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Getzlaf
Stamkos
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (10,258)
50.4% (9,799)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.9% (1,381)
55.1% (1,725)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (1,055)
49.7% (825)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Getzlaf shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Home
51.8% (6,270)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
47.8% (6,495)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Getzlaf
Stamkos
P1
49.2%
49.1%
P2
50.4%
52.7%
P3
49.7%
50.9%
OT
49.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |