Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Getzlaf wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.0% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 51.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 80.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 62.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
0
Getzlaf
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (772)
49.3% (789)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.8% (153)
56.9% (181)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (100)
54.1% (98)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Getzlaf is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Getzlaf shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Stamkos
Home
56.0% (557)
52.0% (512)
Away
50.0% (468)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Getzlaf
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
42.1%
P2
53.0%
56.4%
P3
54.9%
53.7%
OT
46.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |