Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Hartman 45.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 51.2%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 58.8%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 56.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Barbashev
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barbashev
Hartman
Last 5: Barbashev 2-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Barbashev
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Barbashev
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
44.8% (936)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
49.4% (154)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
33.3% (54)
+7.4%
On power play, Barbashev has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Hartman
Home
45.3% (137)
47.4% (568)
Away
36.1% (191)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Barbashev
Hartman
P1
41.8%
47.2%
P2
43.1%
43.4%
P3
31.9%
43.8%
OT
75.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |