Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 76.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 78.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Carter
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Hartman
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Carter
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Carter
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Carter
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
44.8% (936)
+13.1%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
49.4% (154)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
33.3% (54)
+12.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Carter
Hartman
Home
58.2% (543)
47.4% (568)
Away
55.9% (594)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Carter
Hartman
P1
57.5%
47.2%
P2
57.1%
43.4%
P3
55.8%
43.8%
OT
68.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 04:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 02:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |