Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Hartman 45.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 66.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Schmaltz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schmaltz
Hartman
Last 7: Schmaltz 5-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
2
Schmaltz
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
44.8% (830)
+1.1%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
47.8% (92)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hartman
Home
44.7% (409)
45.0% (515)
Away
47.6% (391)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hartman
P1
40.3%
46.5%
P2
47.6%
39.9%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |