Ryan Hartman vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hartman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 66.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 71.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 68.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Hartman 2-8 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
47.6% (231)
-2.8%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
83.3% (12)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
33.3% (21)
+4.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Hartman shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.0% (515)
51.2% (164)
Away
44.9% (423)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
39.9%
46.2%
P3
48.6%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |