Ryan Hartman vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.5%). Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
50.3% (479)
-2.2%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
50.0% (28)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
30.0% (50)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.3% (360)
48.9% (270)
Away
47.0% (230)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.5%
48.7%
P2
45.2%
50.0%
P3
49.6%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |