Ryan Hartman vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Hartman 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
43.0% (349)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
31.8% (88)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.4% (568)
38.5% (231)
Away
42.4% (576)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.2%
40.2%
P2
43.4%
36.0%
P3
43.8%
45.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |