Ryan Hartman vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 83.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Hartman 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
0
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (190)
48.3% (633)
-2.5%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
64.6% (48)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.0% (86)
+57.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hartman is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Hartman shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.8% (112)
52.0% (419)
Away
38.5% (91)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.2%
51.5%
P2
44.1%
45.9%
P3
50.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
51.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |