Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs Steel 50.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 54.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 63.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hartman
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hartman
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
52.5% (200)
-7.7%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
71.4% (7)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
40.0% (45)
-2.5%
On power play, Steel has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Hartman shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Hartman
Steel
Home
45.0% (515)
49.5% (109)
Away
44.9% (423)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Hartman
Steel
P1
46.5%
49.5%
P2
39.9%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |