Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Steel 52.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Hartman
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hartman
Steel
Last 7: Hartman 3-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
4
Hartman
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
56.9% (320)
-8.8%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
71.4% (7)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
37.0% (73)
+10.8%
On power play, Steel has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Hartman
Steel
Home
48.3% (360)
55.9% (202)
Away
47.0% (230)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Hartman
Steel
P1
48.5%
55.5%
P2
45.2%
55.1%
P3
49.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |