Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Steel 49.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Hartman
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hartman
Steel
Last 6: Hartman 3-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Hartman
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
49.3% (383)
-4.5%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
59.1% (22)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
14.3% (7)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Hartman
Steel
Home
47.4% (568)
49.4% (180)
Away
42.4% (576)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Hartman
Steel
P1
47.2%
51.9%
P2
43.4%
43.8%
P3
43.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |