Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs Steel 52.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 87.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 80.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 87.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Hartman
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Hartman
Steel
Last 10: Hartman 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
3
Hartman
Steel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
5
Hartman
Steel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
7
Hartman
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
51.6% (401)
-10.7%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
66.7% (39)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
44.4% (9)
-5.5%
On power play, Steel has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. Steel is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Hartman
Steel
Home
46.2% (249)
55.8% (206)
Away
36.4% (228)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Hartman
Steel
P1
45.4%
57.0%
P2
39.1%
50.7%
P3
40.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |