Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 82.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 80.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 81.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Hartman
Nosek
Last 10: Hartman 3-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
2
Hartman
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
6
Hartman
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
7
Hartman
Nosek
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,235)
54.9% (2,674)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.4% (443)
44.7% (47)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
47.4% (424)
-5.0%
On even strength, Nosek has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
46.7% (2,589)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
43.6% (2,351)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
46.0%
52.3%
P2
42.9%
54.0%
P3
46.8%
54.6%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |