Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Nosek 51.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 58.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 59.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hartman
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
53.0% (400)
-4.9%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
33.3% (12)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
45.5% (44)
+2.3%
On power play, Hartman has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
48.3% (360)
49.6% (244)
Away
47.0% (230)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
48.5%
53.1%
P2
45.2%
51.4%
P3
49.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |